I just had a hive swarm during a rain storm. That is DURING A RAIN STORM, not just before, not right after, but during. The queen, and the main cluster only made it about 10-15 feet from the parent hive into a prune tree directly above the parent hive.
Hiving a swarm of bees, water logged and in disarry, small clusters in a dozen or more places, was not the best conditions to hive a swarm. They rejected the 1st hive offering, a 5 frame deep nuc with partially drawn plastic frames, and went back up in the prune tree. 2nd go around I used a queen includer and a frame of brood.
Seems there is a lot of anticdotal information concerning the timing of swarms and storms.